Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin preview and prediction
The match
Mebrat Hayl host Ethiopian Medhin in the Premier League on Monday 20 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Mebrat Hayl are 8th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Ethiopian Medhin sit 6th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mebrat Hayl's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Adama Kenema 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ethiopian Medhin's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Bahardar 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mebrat Hayl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.7 for Mebrat Hayl and 0.7 for Ethiopian Medhin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 82% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mebrat Hayl35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.40
Ethiopian Medhin36%fair 2.75 · @2.80
1.44Expected goals
0.70Mebrat Hayl xG
0.74Ethiopian Medhin xG
43%Both score
18%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–024%
0–117%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.7 – 0.7 Ethiopian Medhin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopian Medhin to win✗
36%
2.75
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Mebrat Hayl – last 6
WLDWWW
14 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Negelle Arsi
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Arba Minch Kenema
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ethiopian Medhin – last 6
DDDDWL
15 Apr
vs Bahardar
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Kedus Giorgis
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Adama Kenema
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopian Medhin.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ethiopian Medhin 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire0