Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena preview and prediction
The match
Hadiya Hosaena travel to face Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT). Negelle Arsi are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Hadiya Hosaena sit 13th on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Negelle Arsi's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Sheger Ketema 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hadiya Hosaena's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Ethiopia Bunna 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Negelle Arsi and 0.8 for Hadiya Hosaena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Hadiya Hosaena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Negelle Arsi45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Hadiya Hosaena31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
1.81Expected goals
1.03Negelle Arsi xG
0.78Hadiya Hosaena xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.0 – 0.8 Hadiya Hosaena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.92
–
Form
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DDWLDD
13 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Bahardar
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
DWLLDD
14 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Adama Kenema
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Hadiya Hosaena.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hadiya Hosaena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Hadiya Hosaena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema0