Value bet: Mebrat Hayl to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl preview and prediction
The match
Kedus Giorgis host Mebrat Hayl in the Premier League on Wednesday 8 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Kedus Giorgis are 9th with 6 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Mebrat Hayl sit 8th on 7 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Hadiya Hosaena 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Mebrat Hayl's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Bahardar 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mebrat Hayl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Kedus Giorgis and 0.7 for Mebrat Hayl. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 82% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Mebrat Hayl to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kedus Giorgis42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.62
Mebrat Hayl33%fair 3.04 · @3.60
1.45Expected goals
0.80Kedus Giorgis xG
0.65Mebrat Hayl xG
43%Both score
18%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 0.8 – 0.7 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kedus Giorgis to win✓
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Form
Kedus Giorgis – last 5
WLLDL
4 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Bahardar
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Sheger Ketema
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Ethiopian Medhin
0–3
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mebrat Hayl – last 6
DWWWLD
3 Apr
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Negelle Arsi
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Arba Minch Kenema
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kedus Giorgis and Mebrat Hayl.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mebrat Hayl 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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