Value bet: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Nigd Bank to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ethiopia Nigd Bank take on Mekelle Kenema on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Welayta Dicha 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mekelle Kenema's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Welayta Dicha 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 1.0 for Mekelle Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win at 2.60 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1–1 Mekelle Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia Nigd Bank43%fair 2.31 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @2.62
Mekelle Kenema31%fair 3.18 · @2.75
2.14Expected goals
1.19Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
0.95Mekelle Kenema xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.2 – 1.0 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win✓
43%
2.31
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia Nigd Bank / FT Ethiopia Nigd Bank✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 5
DWLLW
4 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Suhul Shire
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Fasil Ketema
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Mekelle Kenema – last 5
DLLDW
15 Mar
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Awassa Kenema
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Suhul Shire
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelle Kenema.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema?
On our numbers Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mekelle Kenema 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1–1 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire0
Dire Dawa Kenema1