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Premier League · Ethiopia

Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Awassa Kenema to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAwassa Kenema to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceAwassa Kenema or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.65

Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni preview and prediction

The match

Welwalo Adigrat Uni travel to face Awassa Kenema in the Premier League on Sunday 5 April (14:00 WAT). Awassa Kenema are 11th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 17th on 1 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Awassa Kenema's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Mekelle Kenema 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Mekelakeya 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Awassa Kenema and 0.5 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Awassa Kenema to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Awassa Kenema 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Awassa Kenema58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.75
Welwalo Adigrat Uni15%fair 6.73 · @4.20
1.81Expected goals
1.31Awassa Kenema xG
0.50Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–022%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 1.3 – 0.5 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAwassa Kenema to win ✗58%1.721.91 ▲
Double chanceAwassa Kenema or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Awassa Kenema / FT Awassa Kenema ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.65–

Form

Awassa Kenema – last 3

WDD
10 Marvs Mekelle Kenema1–0W
4 Mar@ Welayta Dicha1–1D
22 Febvs Dire Dawa Kenema1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 4

DWWD
8 Mar@ Mekelakeya0–0D
3 Marvs Suhul Shire1–0W
27 Feb@ Fasil Ketema2–1W
22 Feb@ Sidama Bunna0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our pick is Awassa Kenema to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 15%.

How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.