Value bet: Ghazl El Mehalla to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGhazl El Mehalla to win ✓36% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.62
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ghazl El Mehalla take on Al Ittihad on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at El-Gazel Stadium. Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Al Ittihad sit 5th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ghazl El Mehalla's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Masr 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Ittihad's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat El Geish 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Al Ittihad 2–0 Ghazl El Mehalla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 0.9 for Al Ittihad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ghazl El Mehalla 36%, draw 29%, Al Ittihad 35%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Ghazl El Mehalla to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Al Ittihad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ghazl El Mehalla36%fair 2.78 · @3.20
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.54
Al Ittihad35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
1.78Expected goals
0.90Ghazl El Mehalla xG
0.89Al Ittihad xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ghazl El Mehalla 0.9 – 0.9 Al Ittihad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
On our numbers Ghazl El Mehalla have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Al Ittihad 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our predicted score is Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Al Ittihad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at El-Gazel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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