Value bet: Wadi Degla to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla preview and prediction
The match
Wadi Degla travel to Arab Contractors Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 18 May (18:00 WAT) to face El Mokawloon. El Mokawloon are 7th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Wadi Degla sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Mokawloon's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Haras El Hodood 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wadi Degla's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Ismaily SC 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Wadi Degla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for El Mokawloon and 0.9 for Wadi Degla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Mokawloon 43%, draw 26%, Wadi Degla 32%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Wadi Degla to win at 3.80 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: El Mokawloon 1–0 Wadi Degla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Mokawloon43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.62
Wadi Degla32%fair 3.17 · @3.80
1.94Expected goals
1.07El Mokawloon xG
0.86Wadi Degla xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Mokawloon 1.1 – 0.9 Wadi Degla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
43%
2.34
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
El Mokawloon – last 6
DWDDDL
13 May
@ Haras El Hodood
0–0
D
8 May
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
4 May
@ Pharco
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Al Ittihad
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ National Bank of Egypt
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Wadi Degla – last 6
WDLWDW
12 May
vs Ismaily SC
2–1
W
8 May
@ Petrojet
2–2
D
4 May
vs Kahraba Ismailia
1–2
L
29 Apr
vs Al Ittihad
4–1
W
13 Apr
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Pharco
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mokawloon and Wadi Degla.
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?
On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wadi Degla 32%.
How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?
Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 1–0 Wadi Degla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?
El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pharco0
Kahraba Ismailia0
Haras El Hodood2