Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Haras El Hodood take on El Mokawloon on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Harras El Hodood Stadium.
Form guide
Haras El Hodood's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Masr 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
El Mokawloon's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat El Gouna FC 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Mokawloon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Haras El Hodood and 1.2 for El Mokawloon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haras El Hodood 26%, draw 26%, El Mokawloon 49%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.57.
Value angle: El Mokawloon to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Haras El Hodood 0–1 El Mokawloon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haras El Hodood26%fair 3.88 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.62
El Mokawloon49%fair 2.06 · @2.30
1.93Expected goals
0.75Haras El Hodood xG
1.18El Mokawloon xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Haras El Hodood 0.7 – 1.2 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
49%
2.06
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mokawloon / FT El Mokawloon✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Haras El Hodood – last 6
LDDLDL
7 May
vs Masr
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ El Gouna FC
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Al Ittihad
2–2
D
13 Apr
@ Pharco
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Future FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ National Bank of Egypt
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 6
WDDDLW
8 May
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
4 May
@ Pharco
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Al Ittihad
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ National Bank of Egypt
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Ismaily SC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haras El Hodood and El Mokawloon.
What is the prediction for Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers Haras El Hodood have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Mokawloon 49%.
How many goals will there be in Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is Haras El Hodood 0–1 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon?
Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Harras El Hodood Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
