Value bet: Masr to win @ 2.64 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMasr to win ✓42% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Masr take on Ghazl El Mehalla on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Cairo International Stadium. Masr are 10th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Ghazl El Mehalla sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Masr's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Haras El Hodood 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ghazl El Mehalla's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to El Geish 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Masr.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Masr and 0.9 for Ghazl El Mehalla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Masr 42%, draw 26%, Ghazl El Mehalla 33%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Masr to win at 2.64 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Masr 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Masr42%fair 2.40 · @2.64
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.62
Ghazl El Mehalla33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
1.89Expected goals
1.03Masr xG
0.86Ghazl El Mehalla xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Masr 1.0 – 0.9 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Masr have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ghazl El Mehalla 33%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haras El Hodood0