Value bet: Haras El Hodood to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPharco to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Pharco vs Haras El Hodood preview and prediction
The match
Haras El Hodood travel to Alexandria Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 13 April (16:00 WAT) to face Pharco.
Form guide
Pharco's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Wadi Degla 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Haras El Hodood's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Future FC 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Haras El Hodood arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Pharco and 0.9 for Haras El Hodood. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pharco 40%, draw 29%, Haras El Hodood 32%.
Value angle: Haras El Hodood to win at 3.55 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Pharco 1–0 Haras El Hodood. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pharco40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.58
Haras El Hodood32%fair 3.15 · @3.55
1.87Expected goals
1.01Pharco xG
0.86Haras El Hodood xG
41%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pharco 1.0 – 0.9 Haras El Hodood expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pharco to win✓
40%
2.52
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Pharco – last 4
LLLD
8 Apr
@ Wadi Degla
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Kahraba Ismailia
0–2
L
25 Feb
@ National Bank of Egypt
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Petrojet
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Haras El Hodood – last 6
DLDLWL
8 Apr
vs Future FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ National Bank of Egypt
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Ismaily SC
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Pyramids FC
1–3
L
24 Feb
vs Enppi
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Zamalek SC
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pharco and Haras El Hodood.
What is the prediction for Pharco vs Haras El Hodood?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Pharco vs Haras El Hodood?
On our numbers Pharco have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Haras El Hodood 32%.
How many goals will there be in Pharco vs Haras El Hodood?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pharco vs Haras El Hodood?
Our predicted score is Pharco 1–0 Haras El Hodood, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Pharco vs Haras El Hodood?
Pharco vs Haras El Hodood (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ghazl El Mehalla0
Wadi Degla0
El Geish2
Petrojet0
National Bank of Egypt2
El Mokawloon1