Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWadi Degla to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.71
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla preview and prediction
The match
Ghazl El Mehalla host Wadi Degla in the Premier League on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at El-Gazel Stadium. Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Wadi Degla sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ghazl El Mehalla's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat El Gouna FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wadi Degla's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Pharco 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wadi Degla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.1 for Wadi Degla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Wadi Degla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ghazl El Mehalla28%fair 3.58 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.62
Wadi Degla46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
1.82Expected goals
0.74Ghazl El Mehalla xG
1.08Wadi Degla xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–016%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ghazl El Mehalla 0.7 – 1.1 Wadi Degla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wadi Degla to win✗
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wadi Degla / FT Wadi Degla✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.71
–
Form
Ghazl El Mehalla – last 4
WLLD
8 Apr
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Al Ittihad
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Pyramids FC
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Masr
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Wadi Degla – last 6
WLWDDW
8 Apr
vs Pharco
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ El Geish
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs El Geish
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs El Gouna FC
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ El Gouna FC
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Ismaily SC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghazl El Mehalla and Wadi Degla.
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
On our numbers Ghazl El Mehalla have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wadi Degla 46%.
How many goals will there be in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Our predicted score is Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Wadi Degla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at El-Gazel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pharco2
Haras El Hodood1