Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✓39% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Maringá vs Goias preview and prediction
The match
Goias travel to Estádio Willie Davids in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 19 March (23:30 WAT) to face Maringá.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Maringá and 1.8 for Goias. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maringá 35%, draw 26%, Goias 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 53% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maringá 1–1 Goias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maringá35%fair 2.88 · @2.74
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.88
Goias39%fair 2.54 · @2.65
3.39Expected goals
1.64Maringá xG
1.75Goias xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.6 – 1.8 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✓
39%
2.54
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.45 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.80
–
Form
Maringá – last 2
WW
11 Mar
vs Uberlandia
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Boavista SC
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Goias – last 2
DW
15 Mar
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Fluminense PI
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maringá and Goias.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Maringá vs Goias?
On our numbers Maringá have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Goias 39%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Goias?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Goias?
Maringá vs Goias (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Willie Davids.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Goianiense1
Ponte Preta0
CRB1
Figueirense0
Jacuipense0
Novorizontino0
Juventude3
Águia de Marabá0