Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.36
Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Goianiense host Ponte Preta in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Form guide
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Goias 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Atletico Goianiense and 0.4 for Ponte Preta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Goianiense62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.45
Ponte Preta16%fair 6.10 · @4.90
1.73Expected goals
1.30Atletico Goianiense xG
0.44Ponte Preta xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.3 – 0.4 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✓
62%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.36
–
Form
Atletico Goianiense – last 5
DWWWD
15 Mar
@ Goias
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Porto Velho
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Primavera MG
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Vila Nova
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ponte Preta – last 2
WL
11 Mar
vs Guarany de Bagé
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and Ponte Preta.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ponte Preta 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?
Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CRB1
Figueirense0
Jacuipense0
Novorizontino0
Juventude3
Águia de Marabá0
Maringá0
Goias1