Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrabzonspor to win ✗39% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Samsunspor take on Trabzonspor on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Samsunspor are 1st with 12 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Trabzonspor sit 2nd on 9 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Samsunspor's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Beşiktaş 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Trabzonspor's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Eyüpspor 1–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Trabzonspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Samsunspor and 1.7 for Trabzonspor. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Samsunspor 1–1 Trabzonspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samsunspor38%fair 2.62 · @2.64
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.45
Trabzonspor39%fair 2.55 · @2.36
3.34Expected goals
1.66Samsunspor xG
1.68Trabzonspor xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.7 – 1.7 Trabzonspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trabzonspor to win✗
39%
2.55
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trabzonspor / FT Trabzonspor✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.03
–
Form
Samsunspor – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Apr
vs Beşiktaş
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Eyüpspor
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rizespor
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Trabzonspor – last 5
WWWWW
18 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Kayserispor
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Başakşehir
4–2
W
27 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Gaziantep FK
2–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trabzonspor 39%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Trabzonspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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