Rodina Moskva host Ural in the First League on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Arena Khimki.
Form guide
Rodina Moskva's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Chayka 5–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Ural's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Enisey 2–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rodina Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Rodina Moskva and 1.1 for Ural. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva 47%, draw 22%, Ural 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.84.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Ural. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva47%fair 2.15 · @2.18
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.24
Ural31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.36Rodina Moskva xG
1.05Ural xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.4 – 1.1 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
47%
2.15
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Rodina Moskva – last 4
WDWW
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Ural – last 4
LWDL
22 Mar
vs Enisey
2–4
L
15 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fakel
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Ural.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ural 31%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
Rodina Moskva vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov1