Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 1.89 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗60% · @1.89
Double chanceChelyabinsk or draw ✗82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Chayka vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Chayka take on Chelyabinsk on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Chayka Central Stadium.
Form guide
Chayka's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Rodina Moskva 2–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Torpedo Moskva 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Chayka and 1.7 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Chelyabinsk to win at 1.89 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chelyabinsk or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Chayka 0–1 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chayka18%fair 5.53 · @3.74
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.54
Chelyabinsk60%fair 1.68 · @1.89
2.56Expected goals
0.83Chayka xG
1.74Chelyabinsk xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Chayka 0.8 – 1.7 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
60%
1.68
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Chelyabinsk or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Chayka – last 3
LWL
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LDDWWL
23 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chayka and Chelyabinsk.
Our pick is Chelyabinsk or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Chayka have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelyabinsk 60%.
How many goals will there be in Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Chayka 0–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?
Chayka vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chayka Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov1
Rodina Moskva3