Value bet: Ituano to win @ 1.77 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Ituano vs Votuporanguense preview and prediction
The match
Votuporanguense travel to face Ituano in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 15 April (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Ituano's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to XV de Piracicaba 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Votuporanguense's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Água Santa 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Votuporanguense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Ituano and 0.6 for Votuporanguense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ituano to win at 1.77 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ituano 1–0 Votuporanguense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituano65%fair 1.54 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Votuporanguense13%fair 7.59 · @4.20
2.41Expected goals
1.77Ituano xG
0.64Votuporanguense xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.8 – 0.6 Votuporanguense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✓
65%
1.54
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Ituano ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Form
Ituano – last 6
LWDLLL
9 Apr
@ XV de Piracicaba
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Água Santa
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Oeste
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ São José EC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Água Santa
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Votuporanguense – last 6
WWDWWW
8 Apr
vs Água Santa
5–1
W
26 Mar
@ XV de Piracicaba
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Água Santa
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Ferroviária
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Oeste
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Sao Bento
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Votuporanguense.
What is the prediction for Ituano vs Votuporanguense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ituano vs Votuporanguense?
On our numbers Ituano have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Votuporanguense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Votuporanguense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Votuporanguense?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–0 Votuporanguense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Votuporanguense?
Ituano vs Votuporanguense (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Água Santa0
XV de Piracicaba1
Ferroviária1
Juventus0