Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
XV de Piracicaba or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: XV de Piracicaba to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.91
Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba preview and prediction
The match
XV de Piracicaba travel to face Água Santa in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 15 April (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Água Santa's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Votuporanguense 1–5 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
XV de Piracicaba's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Ituano 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Água Santa and 1.6 for XV de Piracicaba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Água Santa 16%, draw 20%, XV de Piracicaba 63%.
Safer route: XV de Piracicaba or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: XV de Piracicaba to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was XV de Piracicaba or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Água Santa 0–1 XV de Piracicaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Água Santa16%fair 6.14 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.10
XV de Piracicaba63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
2.26Expected goals
0.64Água Santa xG
1.63XV de Piracicaba xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Água Santa 0.6 – 1.6 XV de Piracicaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
XV de Piracicaba to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
XV de Piracicaba or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT XV de Piracicaba / FT XV de Piracicaba✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.91
–
Form
Água Santa – last 6
LLDWWW
8 Apr
@ Votuporanguense
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ Ituano
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Monte Azul
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Grêmio Prudente
4–3
W
18 Feb
@ Ituano
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
XV de Piracicaba – last 6
WLDLDW
9 Apr
vs Ituano
3–0
W
26 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Ituano
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Juventus
0–3
L
26 Feb
@ Taubaté
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Inter De Limeira
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Água Santa and XV de Piracicaba.
What is the prediction for Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our pick is XV de Piracicaba or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba?
On our numbers Água Santa have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and XV de Piracicaba 63%.
How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our predicted score is Água Santa 0–1 XV de Piracicaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba?
Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.