Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Monagas II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonagas II to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.35
Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Atletico Avila FC take on Monagas II on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Atletico Avila FC are 8th with 14 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Monagas II sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Atletico Avila FC and 1.1 for Monagas II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Avila FC 37%, draw 23%, Monagas II 41%.
Value angle: Monagas II to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Monagas II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Avila FC37%fair 2.72 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Monagas II41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
2.06Expected goals
0.99Atletico Avila FC xG
1.07Monagas II xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Avila FC 1.0 – 1.1 Monagas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monagas II to win✓
41%
2.46
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.35
–
Form
Atletico Avila FC
No recent results on record.
Monagas II – last 1
L
23 Mar
vs Bolívar
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Avila FC and Monagas II.
What is the prediction for Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
On our numbers Atletico Avila FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monagas II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Our predicted score is Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Monagas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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