Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarítimo to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Bolívar vs Marítimo preview and prediction
The match
Bolívar host Marítimo in the Segunda División on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Bolívar are 4th with 41 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Marítimo sit 7th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Bolívar and 1.0 for Marítimo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolívar 34%, draw 24%, Marítimo 42%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bolívar 0–0 Marítimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolívar34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Marítimo42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
1.77Expected goals
0.81Bolívar xG
0.96Marítimo xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Bolívar 0.8 – 1.0 Marítimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marítimo to win✓
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
Bolívar – last 1
W
23 Mar
@ Monagas II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marítimo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Marítimo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bolívar vs Marítimo?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marítimo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Marítimo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Marítimo?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 0–0 Marítimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Marítimo?
Bolívar vs Marítimo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.