Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDakota to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Bubali vs Dakota preview and prediction
The match
Bubali host Dakota in the Division Di Honor on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Bubali are 6th with 13 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Dakota sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bubali's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with La Fama 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Dakota's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with RCA 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Dakota arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.5 for Bubali and 2.4 for Dakota. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bubali 23%, draw 18%, Dakota 59%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bubali 1–2 Dakota. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bubali23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.33
Dakota59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
3.85Expected goals
1.45Bubali xG
2.40Dakota xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–26%
0–26%
2–15%
From our goals model: Bubali 1.5 – 2.4 Dakota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dakota to win✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Dakota ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dakota / FT Dakota
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Bubali – last 6
DDLWWD
3 May
vs La Fama
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Sporting
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Britannia
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ La Fama
4–1
W
28 Feb
vs Nacional
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs River Plate
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dakota – last 5
DWWWW
2 May
vs RCA
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Sporting
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ RCA
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs RCA
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Estrella
11–2
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bubali and Dakota.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bubali vs Dakota?
On our numbers Bubali have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dakota 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bubali vs Dakota?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bubali vs Dakota?
Our predicted score is Bubali 1–2 Dakota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Bubali vs Dakota?
Bubali vs Dakota (Division Di Honor) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
