Value bet: Sportivo Las Parejas to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Concepción host Sportivo Las Parejas in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez. Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Sportivo Las Parejas sit 15th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Las Parejas's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Gimnasia Concepción and 0.8 for Sportivo Las Parejas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sportivo Las Parejas to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Gimnasia Concepción 0–0 Sportivo Las Parejas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Concepción43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.70
Sportivo Las Parejas32%fair 3.12 · @3.50
1.79Expected goals
1.00Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.79Sportivo Las Parejas xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.0 – 0.8 Sportivo Las Parejas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Concepción to win✗
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
DWDWDD
14 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
31 May
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
24 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
17 May
@ El Linqueño
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 6
DDWWWD
13 Jun
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
30 May
vs Atletico Escobar
1–0
W
24 May
vs El Linqueño
1–0
W
17 May
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Concepción and Sportivo Las Parejas.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Las Parejas 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 0–0 Sportivo Las Parejas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Las Parejas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
