Value bet: Costa Brava to win @ 3.80 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34
Atenas vs Costa Brava preview and prediction
The match
Atenas host Costa Brava in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Julio. Atenas are 18th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Costa Brava sit 27th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Huracan Las Heras 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Costa Brava's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Cipolletti 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Costa Brava 0–1 Atenas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Atenas and 0.7 for Costa Brava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 48%, draw 24%, Costa Brava 28%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Costa Brava to win at 3.80 – 28% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Atenas 1–0 Costa Brava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Costa Brava28%fair 3.55 · @3.80
1.70Expected goals
1.02Atenas xG
0.67Costa Brava xG
44%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–018%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–16%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.0 – 0.7 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Atenas vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers Atenas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Costa Brava 28%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Costa Brava?
Atenas vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
