Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Villa Mitre take on Kimberley Mar del Plata on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Villa Mitre are 16th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Circulo Deportivo 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Villa Mitre and 0.7 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Mitre 42%, draw 25%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 33%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 3.90 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Mitre42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata33%fair 3.03 · @3.90
1.60Expected goals
0.88Villa Mitre xG
0.72Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–018%
0–115%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 0.9 – 0.7 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Mitre to win✗
42%
2.37
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.64
–
Form
Villa Mitre – last 2
WW
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 3
WDD
17 May
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Santamarina
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Kimberley Mar del Plata.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 33%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
