Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Sarmiento de La Banda to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos preview and prediction
The match
Boca Unidos travel to Stadio Ciudad de La Banda in the Torneo Federal A on Monday 25 May (20:00 WAT) to face Sarmiento de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Boca Unidos sit 29th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Boca Unidos's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Juventud Antoniana 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.7 for Boca Unidos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento de La Banda 59%, draw 24%, Boca Unidos 17%.
Safer route: Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sarmiento de La Banda to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Boca Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento de La Banda59%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
Boca Unidos17%fair 5.96 · @4.20
2.31Expected goals
1.60Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.71Boca Unidos xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 – 0.7 Boca Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
59%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 2
WD
17 May
vs Tucuman Central
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Boca Unidos – last 3
DWL
17 May
@ Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Tucuman Central
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Boca Unidos.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos?
Our pick is Sarmiento de La Banda to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boca Unidos 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Boca Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
