Value bet: Drita to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallkani to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Ballkani vs Drita preview and prediction
The match
Drita travel to face Ballkani in the Superliga on Sunday 15 March (13:00 WAT). Ballkani are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Drita sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ballkani's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Llapi 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Drita's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Prishtina e Re 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Drita arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Ballkani and 1.3 for Drita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballkani 40%, draw 23%, Drita 37%.
Value angle: Drita to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Ballkani 1–1 Drita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballkani40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Drita37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.31Ballkani xG
1.25Drita xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ballkani 1.3 – 1.3 Drita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballkani to win✓
40%
2.52
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballkani / FT Ballkani✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Ballkani – last 5
LWWLL
9 Mar
@ Llapi
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Gjilani
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Drenica Skënderaj
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ferizaj
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Malisheva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Drita – last 5
WLWLW
7 Mar
vs Prishtina e Re
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Celje
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Llapi
2–0
W
19 Feb
vs Celje
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Drenica Skënderaj
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballkani and Drita.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ballkani vs Drita?
On our numbers Ballkani have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drita 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ballkani vs Drita?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballkani vs Drita?
Our predicted score is Ballkani 1–1 Drita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ballkani vs Drita?
Ballkani vs Drita (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
