Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDukagjini to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceDukagjini or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Dukagjini vs Llapi preview and prediction
The match
Dukagjini host Llapi in the Superliga on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Dukagjini are 6th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Llapi sit 9th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dukagjini's last 4: DWDD Most recently they drew with Drenica Skënderaj 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llapi's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Ballkani 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dukagjini arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Dukagjini and 0.6 for Llapi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dukagjini 67%, draw 20%, Llapi 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dukagjini to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dukagjini 1–0 Llapi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dukagjini67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Llapi13%fair 7.47 · @4.75
2.36Expected goals
1.76Dukagjini xG
0.60Llapi xG
39%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Dukagjini 1.8 – 0.6 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dukagjini to win✗
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Dukagjini or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Dukagjini ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dukagjini / FT Dukagjini✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Dukagjini – last 4
DWDD
8 Mar
@ Drenica Skënderaj
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Feronikeli
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Malisheva
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Gjilani
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llapi – last 4
WDLL
9 Mar
vs Ballkani
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Prishtina e Re
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Drita
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Prishtina
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dukagjini and Llapi.
Our pick is Dukagjini to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Dukagjini vs Llapi?
On our numbers Dukagjini have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Llapi 13%.
How many goals will there be in Dukagjini vs Llapi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dukagjini vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Dukagjini 1–0 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dukagjini vs Llapi?
Dukagjini vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
