Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Garliava to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtmosfera to win ✗39% · @2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Atmosfera vs Garliava preview and prediction
The match
The 1 Lyga sees Atmosfera take on Garliava on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Atmosfera are 9th with 41 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Garliava sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atmosfera's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Panevėžys 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Garliava's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to BFA 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Atmosfera and 1.5 for Garliava. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Garliava to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Atmosfera 1–1 Garliava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atmosfera39%fair 2.57 · @2.17
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Garliava38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.97Expected goals
1.49Atmosfera xG
1.48Garliava xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atmosfera 1.5 – 1.5 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atmosfera to win✗
39%
2.57
2.17
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atmosfera / FT Atmosfera✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Atmosfera – last 6
LDLWLW
20 May
vs Panevėžys
0–3
L
9 May
vs Babrungas
1–1
D
2 May
@ Tauras
0–2
L
21 Apr
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Transinvest 2
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Garliava – last 6
LWWLLW
19 May
@ BFA
1–2
L
2 May
vs Ekranas
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Alternatyvus FK
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Tauras
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atmosfera and Garliava.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atmosfera vs Garliava?
On our numbers Atmosfera have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Garliava 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atmosfera vs Garliava?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atmosfera vs Garliava?
Our predicted score is Atmosfera 1–1 Garliava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atmosfera vs Garliava?
Atmosfera vs Garliava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
