Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinija to win ✓66% · @1.77
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Minija vs Tauras preview and prediction
The match
The 1 Lyga sees Minija take on Tauras on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kretinga Stadium. Minija are 1st with 74 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Tauras sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Minija's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Pempininkai Gargždai 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Tauras's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Žalgiris II 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Minija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Minija and 0.9 for Tauras. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Minija 66%, draw 22%, Tauras 12%.
Safer route: Minija or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Minija to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Minija 2–0 Tauras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Minija66%fair 1.52 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.55
Tauras12%fair 8.26 · @3.80
3.20Expected goals
2.27Minija xG
0.93Tauras xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Minija 2.3 – 0.9 Tauras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✓
66%
1.52
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Minija or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.38
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Minija – last 6
DWWWWW
19 May
@ Pempininkai Gargždai
1–1
D
9 May
vs Dainava
3–1
W
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tauras – last 6
DWLWWL
8 May
@ Žalgiris II
2–2
D
2 May
vs Atmosfera
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Hegelmann Litauen
1–4
L
4 Apr
vs Garliava
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Dainava
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Tauras.
Our pick is Minija to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Minija vs Tauras?
On our numbers Minija have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tauras 12%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Tauras?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Tauras?
Our predicted score is Minija 2–0 Tauras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Tauras?
Minija vs Tauras (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
