Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
2
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 2.90 – our chance 47% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBabrungas to win ✗47% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Atmosfera vs Babrungas preview and prediction
The match
Atmosfera host Babrungas in the 1 Lyga on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Atmosfera are 9th with 41 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Babrungas sit 2nd on 74 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atmosfera's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Tauras 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Babrungas's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat BFA 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Babrungas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Atmosfera and 1.6 for Babrungas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Babrungas to win at 2.90 – 47% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Atmosfera 1–1 Babrungas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atmosfera32%fair 3.11 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.35
Babrungas47%fair 2.12 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.30Atmosfera xG
1.63Babrungas xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Atmosfera 1.3 – 1.6 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win✗
47%
2.12
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.41
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Atmosfera – last 5
LWLWW
2 May
@ Tauras
0–2
L
21 Apr
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Transinvest 2
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Hegelmann II
3–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Babrungas – last 6
WLWWWW
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dainava
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Transinvest 2
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atmosfera and Babrungas.
What is the prediction for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Atmosfera have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Babrungas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is Atmosfera 1–1 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Atmosfera vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
