Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinija to win ✓68% · @1.47
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓90% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Minija vs Dainava preview and prediction
The match
Dainava travel to Kretinga Stadium in the 1 Lyga on Saturday 9 May (12:00 WAT) to face Minija. Minija are 1st with 74 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Dainava sit 7th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Minija's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Transinvest 2 7–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dainava's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Žalgiris II 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Minija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Minija and 0.9 for Dainava. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Minija 68%, draw 22%, Dainava 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Minija 2–0 Dainava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Minija68%fair 1.47 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
Dainava10%fair 9.97 · @5.40
3.17Expected goals
2.31Minija xG
0.86Dainava xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Minija 2.3 – 0.9 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✓
68%
1.47
1.47
Double chance
Minija or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.36
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Minija – last 5
WWWWW
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Hegelmann II
3–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dainava – last 4
DDLL
24 Apr
@ Žalgiris II
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ BFA
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Tauras
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Babrungas
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Dainava.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Minija vs Dainava?
On our numbers Minija have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dainava 10%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Dainava?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is Minija 2–0 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Dainava?
Minija vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
