Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeevon PPK to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 13.00
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK preview and prediction
The match
JFK Ventspils host Leevon PPK in the 1. Liga on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). JFK Ventspils are 13th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Leevon PPK sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JFK Ventspils's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Tukums II 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Leevon PPK's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Rīgas FS II 6–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Leevon PPK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished JFK Ventspils 1–3 Leevon PPK. Across their last 2 meetings JFK Ventspils have won 0, Leevon PPK 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for JFK Ventspils and 2.3 for Leevon PPK. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: JFK Ventspils 15%, draw 18%, Leevon PPK 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leevon PPK to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: JFK Ventspils 0–2 Leevon PPK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JFK Ventspils15%fair 6.64 · @4.50
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.33
Leevon PPK67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
3.21Expected goals
0.96JFK Ventspils xG
2.25Leevon PPK xG
49%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 1.0 – 2.3 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?
Our pick is Leevon PPK to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?
On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leevon PPK 67%.
How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?
Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 0–2 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
