Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetta LU to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Metta LU vs Riga Mariners preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Metta LU take on Riga Mariners on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Metta LU are 1st with 69 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Riga Mariners sit 3rd on 59 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Metta LU's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat JDFS Alberts 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Riga Mariners's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Valmiera BSS 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for Metta LU and 1.4 for Riga Mariners. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metta LU 67%, draw 16%, Riga Mariners 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Metta LU 2–1 Riga Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metta LU67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @5.00
Riga Mariners17%fair 5.93 · @7.50
4.26Expected goals
2.84Metta LU xG
1.42Riga Mariners xG
67%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
2–06%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Metta LU 2.8 – 1.4 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Form
Metta LU – last 6
WWDWWL
19 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs JFK Ventspils
7–0
W
5 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
WLWWWW
19 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Smiltene
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metta LU and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Metta LU have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Riga Mariners 17%.
How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Metta LU 2–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Metta LU vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
