Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuper Nova 2 to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Super Nova 2 take on Smiltene on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Sporta centrs Krasts. Super Nova 2 are 8th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Smiltene sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Super Nova 2's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Rēzekne FA 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Smiltene's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Riga Mariners 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Smiltene 0–2 Super Nova 2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Super Nova 2 and 1.2 for Smiltene. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 2 63%, draw 16%, Smiltene 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Super Nova 2 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Super Nova 2 2–1 Smiltene. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova 263%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
Smiltene22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
3.39Expected goals
2.20Super Nova 2 xG
1.18Smiltene xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Super Nova 2 2.2 – 1.2 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Our pick is Super Nova 2 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
On our numbers Super Nova 2 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Smiltene 22%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 2 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sporta centrs Krasts.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
