Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Valmiera BSS to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners preview and prediction
The match
Riga Mariners travel to face Valmiera BSS in the 1. Liga on Saturday 19 September (12:00 WAT). Valmiera BSS are 2nd with 60 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Riga Mariners sit 3rd on 59 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat JDFS Alberts 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Riga Mariners's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Smiltene 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Valmiera BSS and 1.2 for Riga Mariners. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Valmiera BSS to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valmiera BSS 2–1 Riga Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valmiera BSS62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @4.00
Riga Mariners22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
3.46Expected goals
2.23Valmiera BSS xG
1.23Riga Mariners xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.2 – 1.2 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✗
62%
1.61
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WDWWWW
12 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Metta LU
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Mārupe
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Smiltene
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Super Nova 2
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Valmiera BSS to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Riga Mariners 22%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
