Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils preview and prediction
The match
Metta LU host JFK Ventspils in the 1. Liga on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Metta LU are 1st with 69 points from 26 games (top of the table), while JFK Ventspils sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 50 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Metta LU's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Valmiera BSS 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game.
JFK Ventspils's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS II 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Metta LU arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.1 for Metta LU and 1.1 for JFK Ventspils. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metta LU 77%, draw 13%, JFK Ventspils 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Metta LU 3–1 JFK Ventspils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metta LU77%fair 1.30 · @1.04
Draw13%fair 7.90 · @17.00
JFK Ventspils11%fair 9.36 · @26.00
4.20Expected goals
3.08Metta LU xG
1.12JFK Ventspils xG
53%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Metta LU 3.1 – 1.1 JFK Ventspils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
77%
1.30
1.04
Double chance
Metta LU or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.22
–
Form
Metta LU – last 6
DWWLWD
5 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
12–1
W
1 Aug
@ Riga FC II
2–2
D
4.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JFK Ventspils – last 6
LDLLDL
5 Sep
@ Rīgas FS II
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Riga FC II
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Smiltene
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Riga Mariners
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs JDFS Alberts
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metta LU and JFK Ventspils.
What is the prediction for Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
On our numbers Metta LU have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 13% and JFK Ventspils 11%.
How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Our predicted score is Metta LU 3–1 JFK Ventspils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
