Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Smiltene vs Riga Mariners preview and prediction
The match
Smiltene host Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Smiltene are 9th with 27 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Riga Mariners sit 3rd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Smiltene's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to JDFS Alberts 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.8 conceded.
Riga Mariners's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rēzekne FA 5–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Riga Mariners arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.1 for Smiltene and 2.7 for Riga Mariners. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Smiltene 1–2 Riga Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smiltene12%fair 8.37 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @7.00
Riga Mariners70%fair 1.43 · @1.20
3.82Expected goals
1.11Smiltene xG
2.71Riga Mariners xG
55%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.1 – 2.7 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga Mariners to win✗
70%
1.43
1.20
Double chance
Riga Mariners or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Smiltene – last 6
LLLLWL
5 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Metta LU
0–6
L
23 Aug
@ Leevon PPK
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ JFK Ventspils
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Rīgas FS II
3–5
L
1.7Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Super Nova 2
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs JFK Ventspils
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smiltene and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Riga Mariners 70%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Smiltene vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
