Double chanceRiga Mariners or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Riga Mariners take on Rēzekne FA on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Riga Mariners are 3rd with 59 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Rēzekne FA sit 14th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 53 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga Mariners's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Rīgas FS II 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Rēzekne FA's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Valmiera BSS 1–6 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Riga Mariners arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Rēzekne FA 2–2 Riga Mariners.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Riga Mariners and 1.0 for Rēzekne FA. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga Mariners 74%, draw 13%, Rēzekne FA 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Riga Mariners 2–1 Rēzekne FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga Mariners74%fair 1.35 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.41 · @12.00
Rēzekne FA12%fair 8.06 · @19.00
3.75Expected goals
2.73Riga Mariners xG
1.02Rēzekne FA xG
53%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.7 – 1.0 Rēzekne FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?
On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Rēzekne FA 12%.
How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?
Our predicted score is Riga Mariners 2–1 Rēzekne FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?
Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
