Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetta LU to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Valmiera BSS take on Metta LU on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Valmiera BSS are 2nd with 60 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Metta LU sit 1st on 69 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rēzekne FA 6–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Metta LU's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Smiltene 6–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 5.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.7 for Valmiera BSS and 2.8 for Metta LU. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valmiera BSS 24%, draw 15%, Metta LU 61%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Metta LU to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valmiera BSS 1–2 Metta LU. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valmiera BSS24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @3.60
Metta LU61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
4.47Expected goals
1.72Valmiera BSS xG
2.75Metta LU xG
60%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 1.7 – 2.8 Metta LU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.43
–
Form
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Mārupe
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Riga FC II
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Metta LU – last 6
WWLWDW
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
12–1
W
1 Aug
@ Riga FC II
2–2
D
27 Jul
vs Tukums II
9–0
W
5.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Metta LU.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Our pick is Metta LU to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Metta LU 61%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 1–2 Metta LU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
