Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS preview and prediction
The match
Valmiera BSS travel to face Smiltene in the 1. Liga on Saturday 8 August (16:00 WAT). Smiltene are 9th with 27 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Valmiera BSS sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Smiltene's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat JFK Ventspils 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Rīgas FS II 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Smiltene 1–4 Valmiera BSS. Across their last 2 meetings Smiltene have won 0, Valmiera BSS 2, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 0.9 for Smiltene and 2.8 for Valmiera BSS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Smiltene 0–3 Valmiera BSS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smiltene7%fair 14.28 · @13.00
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @9.00
Valmiera BSS76%fair 1.31 · @1.10
3.71Expected goals
0.87Smiltene xG
2.84Valmiera BSS xG
49%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–47%
From our goals model: Smiltene 0.9 – 2.8 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Valmiera BSS 76%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 0–3 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
