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1. Liga · Latvia

Skanste

LLLLW
4–2
FT

Mārupe

WLLWL

Skanste vs Mārupe prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMārupe to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Skanste vs Mārupe preview and prediction

The match

The 1. Liga sees Skanste take on Mārupe on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Skanste are 10th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Mārupe sit 7th on 34 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Skanste's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Leevon PPK 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Mārupe's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Rēzekne FA 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Mārupe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Mārupe 4–0 Skanste.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Skanste and 1.7 for Mārupe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Skanste 1–2 Mārupe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Skanste36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Mārupe43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
3.29Expected goals
1.55Skanste xG
1.74Mārupe xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Skanste 1.6 – 1.7 Mārupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMārupe to win ✗43%2.312.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mārupe / FT Mārupe ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.46–

Form

Skanste – last 6

LLLLWL
25 Jul@ Leevon PPK1–2L
18 Julvs Valmiera BSS0–3L
11 Julvs JFK Ventspils0–3L
4 Jul@ Metta LU1–3L
28 Jun@ Smiltene4–2W
14 Junvs Riga Mariners0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mārupe – last 6

WLLWLD
25 Jul@ Rēzekne FA2–1W
18 Julvs Metta LU0–4L
12 Julvs Grobiņa0–1L
4 Julvs Smiltene2–1W
27 Jun@ Riga Mariners0–2L
19 Junvs Aliance2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Mārupe v Skanste4–0
Skanste vs Mārupe head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Skanste vs Mārupe?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Skanste vs Mārupe?

On our numbers Skanste have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mārupe 43%.

How many goals will there be in Skanste vs Mārupe?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Skanste vs Mārupe?

Our predicted score is Skanste 1–2 Mārupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Skanste vs Mārupe?

Skanste vs Mārupe (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.