Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Valmiera BSS take on Rīgas FS II on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Valmiera BSS are 2nd with 60 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Rīgas FS II sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Riga FC II 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS II's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Smiltene 5–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Rīgas FS II 1–5 Valmiera BSS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Valmiera BSS and 1.0 for Rīgas FS II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valmiera BSS 75%, draw 14%, Rīgas FS II 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Valmiera BSS 2–1 Rīgas FS II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valmiera BSS75%fair 1.34 · @1.18
Draw14%fair 7.06 · @7.00
Rīgas FS II11%fair 9.03 · @8.00
3.71Expected goals
2.74Valmiera BSS xG
0.97Rīgas FS II xG
51%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.7 – 1.0 Rīgas FS II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Rīgas FS II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–1 Rīgas FS II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?
Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
