Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓10% · fair 10.05
JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS preview and prediction
The match
JFK Ventspils host Valmiera BSS in the 1. Liga on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). JFK Ventspils are 13th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Valmiera BSS sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 41 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JFK Ventspils's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Leevon PPK 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Smiltene 4–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.0 for JFK Ventspils and 2.4 for Valmiera BSS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: JFK Ventspils 13%, draw 19%, Valmiera BSS 69%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valmiera BSS to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: JFK Ventspils 0–2 Valmiera BSS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JFK Ventspils13%fair 7.89 · @5.25
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.50
Valmiera BSS69%fair 1.46 · @1.42
3.37Expected goals
0.96JFK Ventspils xG
2.41Valmiera BSS xG
51%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 1.0 – 2.4 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Double chance
Valmiera BSS or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
10%
10.05
–
Form
JFK Ventspils – last 4
LWWL
20 Jun
vs Leevon PPK
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ Mārupe
2–1
W
1 Jun
@ Upesciema Warriors
3–0
W
23 May
@ Leevon PPK
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WWDWWW
22 Jun
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
14 Jun
@ Tukums II
4–1
W
26 May
@ Super Nova 2
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Rēzekne FA
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Smiltene
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Rīgas FS II
5–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JFK Ventspils and Valmiera BSS.
What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Valmiera BSS to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valmiera BSS 69%.
How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 0–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?
JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
