Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSkanste to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Smiltene vs Skanste preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Smiltene take on Skanste on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Smiltene are 9th with 27 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Skanste sit 10th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Smiltene's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Valmiera BSS 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Skanste's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Riga Mariners 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Skanste arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Smiltene and 2.3 for Skanste. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smiltene 21%, draw 14%, Skanste 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Skanste to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Smiltene 1–2 Skanste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smiltene21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @4.00
Skanste65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
3.38Expected goals
1.13Smiltene xG
2.25Skanste xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.1 – 2.3 Skanste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Skanste to win✓
65%
1.53
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Skanste ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Skanste / FT Skanste✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
Smiltene – last 6
LLDLLL
22 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
14 Jun
@ Riga FC II
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tukums II
1–1
D
13 May
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
3 May
vs JDFS Alberts
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Valmiera BSS
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Skanste – last 6
LLWWLD
14 Jun
vs Riga Mariners
0–2
L
24 May
@ JDFS Alberts
1–4
L
10 May
vs Rīgas FS II
4–0
W
4 May
vs Riga FC II
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Tukums II
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smiltene and Skanste.
Our pick is Skanste to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Smiltene vs Skanste?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Skanste 65%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Skanste?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Skanste?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Skanste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Skanste?
Smiltene vs Skanste (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
