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Tasmania NPL · Australia · KGV Park

Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.90Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGlenorchy Knights to win ✗43% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras preview and prediction

The match

The Tasmania NPL sees Glenorchy Knights take on Clarence Zebras on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 07:45 (WAT) at KGV Park.

Form guide

Glenorchy Knights's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to South Hobart 1–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Clarence Zebras's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Launceston United 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Clarence Zebras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Clarence Zebras 2–0 Glenorchy Knights.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Glenorchy Knights and 1.5 for Clarence Zebras. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Glenorchy Knights 1–1 Clarence Zebras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Glenorchy Knights43%fair 2.34 · @2.33
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.85
Clarence Zebras37%fair 2.74 · @2.33
3.19Expected goals
1.67Glenorchy Knights xG
1.52Clarence Zebras xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Glenorchy Knights 1.7 – 1.5 Clarence Zebras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlenorchy Knights to win ✗43%2.342.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.90
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glenorchy Knights / FT Glenorchy Knights ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Form

Glenorchy Knights – last 6

LLDLWL
27 Jun@ South Hobart1–6L
20 Jun@ South East Utd.0–1L
13 Junvs Riverside1–1D
30 Mayvs Launceston City1–2L
23 May@ Launceston United4–0W
9 May@ Devonport City1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Clarence Zebras – last 6

DDLWLW
27 Junvs Launceston United1–1D
20 Jun@ Devonport City2–2D
13 Junvs South Hobart1–3L
31 Mayvs South East Utd.2–1W
23 Mayvs Kingborough Lions0–4L
10 May@ Ulverstone4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Clarence Zebras v Glenorchy Knights2–0
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

On our numbers Glenorchy Knights have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Clarence Zebras 37%.

How many goals will there be in Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Our predicted score is Glenorchy Knights 1–1 Clarence Zebras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at KGV Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.