Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions prediction & analysis
93%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.08 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKingborough Lions to win ✗79% · @1.01
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✗92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Tasmania NPL sees Ulverstone take on Kingborough Lions on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 05:30 (WAT) at Westside Park.
Form guide
Ulverstone's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Riverside 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kingborough Lions's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Devonport City 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 4.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kingborough Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Kingborough Lions 5–1 Ulverstone.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.1 for Ulverstone and 3.3 for Kingborough Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 93% chance. Predicted score: Ulverstone 1–3 Kingborough Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulverstone8%fair 13.23 · @46.00
Draw14%fair 7.39 · @9.40
Kingborough Lions79%fair 1.27 · @1.01
4.31Expected goals
1.05Ulverstone xG
3.26Kingborough Lions xG
56%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
0–38%
1–27%
0–27%
1–47%
0–46%
From our goals model: Ulverstone 1.1 – 3.3 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 93% chance.
Who will win Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?
On our numbers Ulverstone have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Kingborough Lions 79%.
How many goals will there be in Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?
Our predicted score is Ulverstone 1–3 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?
Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time) at Westside Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia · Westside Park
Devonport City4
Riverside1
Glenorchy Knights2
Clarence Zebras2