Provincial Ovalle vs Colina preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Provincial Ovalle take on Colina on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Diaguita. Provincial Ovalle are 14th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Colina sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Provincial Ovalle's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Santiago City 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Colina's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Concón National 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.4 for Colina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Provincial Ovalle33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Colina46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
2.54Expected goals
1.13Provincial Ovalle xG
1.41Colina xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.1 – 1.4 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colina to win✗
46%
2.16
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colina / FT Colina✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Provincial Ovalle – last 6
LLDLDL
26 Jun
@ Santiago City
2–3
L
21 Jun
vs Real San Joaquín
1–6
L
8 Jun
vs Trasandino
1–1
D
30 May
@ Concón National
0–1
L
25 May
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Santiago City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colina – last 5
DLLLL
27 Jun
@ Concón National
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Santiago City
0–1
L
31 May
vs Trasandino
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Concón National
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Provincial Ovalle and Colina.
What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Colina 46%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Provincial Ovalle vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
