Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Santiago Morning to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantiago Morning to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceSantiago Morning or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Deportes Rengo take on Santiago Morning on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz. Deportes Rengo are 12th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Santiago Morning sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Rengo's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Colchagua 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Santiago Morning's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Linares Unido 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Deportes Rengo and 1.5 for Santiago Morning. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Rengo 17%, draw 23%, Santiago Morning 60%.
Safer route: Santiago Morning or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Santiago Morning to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Rengo 0–1 Santiago Morning. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Rengo17%fair 5.88 · @3.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Santiago Morning60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
2.17Expected goals
0.65Deportes Rengo xG
1.52Santiago Morning xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Rengo 0.6 – 1.5 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santiago Morning to win✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Santiago Morning or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santiago Morning / FT Santiago Morning✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Deportes Rengo – last 4
LLDL
27 Jun
vs Colchagua
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Linares Unido
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Lota Schwager
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Linares Unido
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Santiago Morning – last 5
LDLDD
28 Jun
vs Linares Unido
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Lota Schwager
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
24 May
@ Colchagua
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Rengo and Santiago Morning.
What is the prediction for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Deportes Rengo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santiago Morning 60%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Deportes Rengo 0–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
