Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Concón National to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConcón National to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceConcón National or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Concón National vs Colina preview and prediction
The match
Concón National host Colina in the Segunda División on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Concón National are 4th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Colina sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Concón National's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Real San Joaquín 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colina's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Municipal Salamanca 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Concón National arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Colina 0–1 Concón National.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Concón National and 0.7 for Colina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Concón National 59%, draw 22%, Colina 19%.
Safer route: Concón National or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Concón National to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Concón National 1–0 Colina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concón National59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Colina19%fair 5.28 · @4.10
2.21Expected goals
1.52Concón National xG
0.69Colina xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Concón National 1.5 – 0.7 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Concón National vs Colina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concón National vs Colina?
On our numbers Concón National have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colina 19%.
How many goals will there be in Concón National vs Colina?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concón National vs Colina?
Our predicted score is Concón National 1–0 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Concón National vs Colina?
Concón National vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
