Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman DiazDeportes Rengo vs Colchagua prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Colchagua to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportes Rengo 0.6 – 1.7 Colchagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colchagua travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 13% for Deportes Rengo.
Deportes Rengo have taken 1 points from their last 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Colchagua have 3 points from their last 3 (0W 3D 0L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. Colchagua come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for Deportes Rengo, 1.7 for Colchagua). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Colchagua to win at 1.85 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colchagua to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Colchagua or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colchagua / FT Colchagua ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 16% | 6.15 | – |
Form
Deportes Rengo – last 3
| 20 Jun | @ Linares Unido | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Jun | vs Lota Schwager | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | vs Linares Unido | 0–2 | L |
Colchagua – last 3
| 21 Jun | vs Provincial Osorno | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | @ General Velásquez | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | vs Santiago Morning | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Rengo and Colchagua.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua?
On our numbers Deportes Rengo have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colchagua 62%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua?
Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.